Golden Globe Predictions 2010

Several hours from now the stars will be seated for one of the biggest Awards ceremonies of the night and Ricky Gervais will be ready to insult them. I’m really hoping that Gervais pulls no punches tonight and remains as hilarious as he’s been in his brief Awards show appearances of the past.

The Globes match up with the Oscars only about 50 percent of the time, so I wouldn’t consider any of tonight’s results to be major indicators. However, if we see multiple winners tonight (i.e. those who won the Critics Choice on Friday and win tonight) that could tell us something about the state of the race.

Here are my final predictions for tonight’s Golden Globe Awards (after the jump):

Best Picture (Drama):
Avatar

If any Awards body would go for the box office champ, it would be the Globes. The HFPA loves to reward the popular trends and the movies with the most starpower. Avatar may not have the most stars, but there is no movie that is more popular or influential right now.

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical):
The Hangover

I’m going out on a limb here, but I just can’t see the Golden Globes giving one of their top prizes to Nine, no matter how star-filled it is. The Hangover is a movie that is “hip” right now and the HFPA loves to prove that they are “hip.”

Best Actor (Drama)
George Clooney – Up in the Air

With George’s recent track record of hilarious acceptance speeches, I think everybody is hoping that he receives an award at the end of the night. Especially because it’s the Globes, which means he might have a few drinks in him by that point.

Best Actress (Drama)
Carey Mulligan – An Education

She lost with the Critics, but I still consider her this year’s frontrunner. If she loses tonight, I might be willing to change my mind, but I think the Foreign Press will award her.

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)
Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine

Day-Lewis is the only actor in this category who has a strong chance to get an Oscar nomination, so I think that will help his chances. He’s also one of the best actors working and the HFPA would love to award greatness.

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)
Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia

Streep has no Blind Side version of Bullock to compete with this time around. She does have Proposal Bullock, but that shouldn’t be any real competition. If Streep doesn’t win here, I would be absolutely shocked.

Best Supporting Actor
Christoph Waltz – Inglourious Basterds

Waltz undefeated streak will continue tonight and on through the season all the way to Oscar night.

Best Supporting Actress
Mo’Nique – Precious

See Christoph Waltz’s description.

Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow – The Hurt Locker

Even though this is going to be one of the least successful nights for The Hurt Locker as a film, I still think that Bigelow will take home this prize over her ex-husband James Cameron if for no other reason than she deserves it.

Best Screenplay
Quentin Tarantino – Inglourious Basterds

Tarantino’s film is probably one of the possibilities for Best Picture, but if it can’t top Avatar there, it will surely win here. This time there is no separation between the Adapted and Foreign screenplays at the Globes so it’s Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner for Up in the Air up against Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds. I think Basterds has the edge.

Best Animated Film
Up

The only place I think Fantastic Mr. Fox had a chance to upset Up was at the Critics Choice Awards. Well, it didn’t happen there, so it won’t happen anywhere else.

Best Foreign Film
Broken Embraces

Pedro Almodovar’s home country of Spain may not have any respect for the beloved auteur, but the rest of the Foreign Press certainly does.

Best Original Score
Michael Giacchino – Up

He seems to be the frontrunner at this point so why shouldn’t he win?

Best Original Song
“The Weary Kind” – Ryan Bingham, T-Bone Burnett – Crazy Heart

Those are my predictions – how about yours?

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  • Luis Felipe Raguá Miranda

    I’m torn in the Best Picture category between Avatar and The Hurt Locker. My ideal win would be for Inglorious, of course, but my prediction goes to Hurt Locker, unfortunately. It was a good movie but it’s overrated by the critics.

    Best Director is definitely going to Bigelow, even though Cameron and Tarantino are more deserving to me. And I think Bridges could pull an upset in the Best Actor category, if not in this awards, in the Oscars.

    This year the Supporting categories are locked up for every major award show. Waltz and Mo’Nique are incredible.

  • Luis Felipe Raguá Miranda

    BTW, this blog is perfect. Just what I was looking for. I found out about this from a newspaper in my country that quoted your predictions. Greetings from Colombia, buddy.

  • Yeah, I think ‘The Hurt Locker’ is definitely a strong contender, but it’s more loved by critics than by the press at large. Very few members of the HFPA are critics, so that’s why I think ‘Avatar’ has the edge.

    Also, I’m fascinated to hear that the site is getting quoted in Colombia. That’s really cool to me.

  • Brandon Cooley

    Predictions:
    Best Picture-Drama: Up in the Air
    Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow
    Best Actor-Drama: George Clooney- Up in the Air
    Best Actress-Drama: Carrey Mulligan- An Education
    Best Picture-Comedy: Julie and Julia
    Best Actor-Comedy: Matt Damon- The Informant!
    Best Actress-Comedy: Meryl Streep- Julie and Julia
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’nique
    Best Screenplay: Up in the Air

  • Andr913

    Best Drama: Up in the Air-no, Hurt Locker-no, Precious. ACK!
    Best Comedy/Musical: Hangover
    Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow
    Best Drama Actor: Jeff Bridges
    Best Drama Actress: Carey Mulligan
    Best Comedy Actor: Matt Damon
    Best Comedy Actress: Meryl Streep for J&J
    Best Supporting Actor: DUH!
    Best Supporting Actress: BIGGER DUH!
    Best Screenplay: Inglourious Basterds
    Best Animated: Up
    Best Foreign: White Ribbon or Broken Embraces

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