Oscar Predictions, Results, and Live-Blog 2011

10:37pm: There it is! 4 wins for The King’s Speech, 4 wins for Inception. View the complete list of winners by film below. A complete summary of the night will be coming either today or tomorrow. Thanks to all for tuning in today!

10:35pm: Only one award left! And the Oscar for Best Picture goes to…The King’s Speech!

10:28pm: How much longer before Colin Firth becomes Sir Colin Firth?

10:19pm: Sandra Bullock presents Best Actor. I would love for Jeff Bridges to win for a second year in a row, but the award goes to…Colin Firth. Great performance from a refined and talented actor.

10:11pm: Jeff Bridges presents Best Actress. And the Award goes to…Natalie Portman. She looks amazing!

10:06pm: Annette Bening presents a video of the Governor’s Awards. Academy president Tom Sherak lied through his teeth by saying “Jean-Luc Godard was sorry he couldn’t be here tonight.”

10:03pm: Best Director. This is a huge one. The winner is…Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech. Bah! I had a feeling it would go that direction. Ah well, none of the remaining categories should offer any surprises.

10:01pm: I take that back about wrapping up by 10:00pm. It doesn’t feel like it’s going that long, though.

9:52pm: In Memoriam – nicely put together piece. I wish they would have played clips from the movies so we could hear dialogue from Tony Curtis, Dennis Hopper, and especially Leslie Nielsen. We lost a lot of great ones this year.

9:46pm: Yay! Randy Newman wins for Best Original Song. This is the award that I am happiest about this evening. Nice speech, Randy.

9:40pm: They are doing very nicely for timing. I think we just might wrap things up by 10pm!

9:32pm: Robert Downey, Jr. and Jude Law looked like they were going to kiss while presenting Best Visual Effects which goes to…Inception. Hurrah.

9:28pm: Billy Crystal paying homage to Oscar ceremonies of the past. There has been a lot less movie history in this Oscars than in previous years. Mostly just Oscar history.

9:22pm: Best Documentary goes to…come on, Banksy…Inside Job. Damn it! Toy Story 3 for Best Song is my last horse in the race. Let’s hope it turns out.

9:19pm: The auto-tune bit was pretty good. The “Tiny Ball of Light” song from Harry Potter at the beginning was the best and it kind of got old quickly after that.

9:08pm: As of now the best possible score I can get is 19 out of 25 and this is before Doc Short, Live Action Short, and Documentary. Meh, guess it’s just not my year.

9:05pm: Cute performance by Mandy Moore and Zachary Levi. I don’t think that was the best song in Tangled, however.

9:03pm: Randy Newman performs “We Belong Together”. I’m glad this performance isn’t what the Academy is voting based on. I sincerely hope that this song wins. Deakins already lost. If this song and Banksy do as well, then I’ll be very disappointed.

8:59pm: Best Costume Design goes to…Alice in Wonderland. First time in 5 years the awards hasn’t gone to a film about royalty. (Well, real royalty).

8:55pm: Out comes Cate Blanchett to present Best Makeup – award goes to The Wolfman. Somebody screamed when they won. Are they going to print “Oscar winning film” on the DVD case now? That would be brilliant.

8:50pm: Inception takes both Sound Oscars. It’s a shoo-in for Best Visual Effects.

8:48pm: “You know the best thing about the Oscars? I keep getting older, the sound mixers stay the same age.” — Matthew McConaughey

8:45pm: Best Original Score goes to…The Social Network. It is now tied with the The Fighter with two wins, more than any other film.

8:34pm: Snack break!

8:32pm: Best Supporting Actor goes to Christian Bale. That’s not a surprise. The King’s Speech is not doing as well as many expected. Of course, neither is any one film.

8:29pm: Before the Best Foreign Film award, we were treated to James Franco in drag as Marilyn Monroe for a very brief moment. It was delightful in its brevity.

8:27pm: Best Foreign Film goes to…In a Better World. That was complete luck that allowed me to answer that correctly.

8:22pm: I think we have a new frontrunner for best speech of the night. David Seidler will be tough to beat: “my father always said I would be a late bloomer.”

8:17pm: Best Adapted Screenplay goes to Aaron Sorkin for The Social Network and Best Original Screenplay goes to David Seidler for The King’s Speech. Two of the most eloquent personalities in the room give two excellent and witty acceptance speeches.

8:15pm: Best Original and Adapted Screenplay. If any other than the predicted win here it would truly be a surprise.

8:12pm: I’m a sucker for these historical montages. Wish they would go on longer.

8:06pm: Best Animated Feature goes to…Toy Story 3. Shocker. So far Lee Unkrich is in the lead for Best Acceptance Speech of the night. Polished, simple, and inspired.

8:03pm: Best Animated Short goes to…The Lost Thing. Well, my dart board method of predicting the shorts is proving wrong.

8:00pm: Well, it should not be difficult to top that acceptance speech from Melissa Leo. Random, nonsensical and downright weird.

7:55pm: Best Supporting Actress goes to…wow, Kirk Douglas is hilarious! It goes to…Melissa Leo for The Fighter. Finally I got one correct.

7:53pm: Kirk Douglas is adorable, but his inability to speak clearly is really sad.

7:51pm: James Franco seems like he’s ready to be done hosting already. Is he trying really really hard to behave?

7:46pm: Cinematography goes to…Wally Pfister for Inception. Come on Academy! Nine snubs for Roger Deakins is a shame. I’m 0 for 2 already.

7:44pm: Art Direction goes to…Alice in Wonderland. Ok, there is a surprise. I’m wondering if that means that Alice in Wonderland is poised for a technical Oscar sweep. Gosh, I hope not.

7:40pm: On a scale of 1 to Woody Harrelson, how stoned is James Franco tonight?

7:37pm: Excellent opening. The True Grit bit was my favorite as well as the random appearance of Morgan Freeman.

7:30pm: Here we go…

7:22pm: James Franco is posting live videos from behind the scenes. Check it out.

7:15pm: Best beard of the night goes to…Christian Bale! I’m assuming he’s growing it out to play a washed up Bruce Wayne.

7:10pm: All right, I’m just about ready for the red carpet coverage to be over. Mostly because everybody’s acting so darn serious and the questions are useless.

7:00pm: The win I’m most rooting for tonight is Exit Through the Gift Shop in Best Documentary. Reports on the Twitter say Mr. Brainwash has appeared on the red carpet.

6:55pm: For more detailed catty coverage, check out my Twitter.

6:48pm: I have a feeling none of the movie commercials that play during the Oscars will be for next year’s Oscar potentials.

6:46pm: My wife has had very little positive to say about the outfits she has seen so far. Anybody with any fashion knowledge care to comment?

5:20pm: I’m not really interested in the Red Carpet. If you’re interested in that type of coverage, you’re at the wrong website.

4:52pm: Shoot, the guests will be here in an hour and my house is a mess. Time to clean! (Yes, I am having guests despite the fact that I will be glued to my laptop the entire time.)

4:30pm: Last minute change. I’m choosing Inception instead of The King’s Speech for Best Art Direction. This was mostly inspired by the BAFTA award which went to Inception despite all of the British love for The King’s Speech. Let’s hope it wasn’t a foolish decision!

4:30pm: The live-blog has begun!

Follow Film Misery writers on Twitter: Alex (@filmmisery) and Murtada (@ME_says)

* All times are Central Standard Time (CST).

View the Complete Oscar Predictions Charts

Predicted Winners

Best Picture
The King’s Speech

Best Director
David Fincher, The Social Network

Best Actor
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech

Best Actress
Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress
Melissa Leo, The Fighter

Best Adapted Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

Best Original Screenplay
David Seidler, The King’s Speech

Best Animated Feature
Toy Story 3

Best Documentary Feature
Exit Through the Gift Shop

Best Foreign Film
Denmark, In a Better World

Best Art Direction
Inception

Best Cinematography
True Grit

Best Costume Design
The King’s Speech

Best Film Editing
The Social Network

Best Makeup Design
The Wolfman

Best Visual Effects
Inception

Best Original Score
The King’s Speech

Best Original Song
“We Belong Together,” Toy Story 3

Best Sound Effects Editing
Inception

Best Sound Mixing
Inception

Best Animated Short
Madagascar, carnet de voyage

Best Documentary Short
Strangers No More

Best Live-Action Short
God of Love

Actual Winners

Best Picture
The King’s Speech

Best Director
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech

Best Actor
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech

Best Actress
Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter

Best Supporting Actress
Melissa Leo, The Fighter

Best Adapted Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network

Best Original Screenplay
David Seidler, The King’s Speech

Best Animated Feature
Toy Story 3

Best Documentary Feature
Inside Job

Best Foreign Film
Denmark, In a Better World

Best Art Direction
Alice in Wonderland

Best Cinematography
Inception

Best Costume Design
Alice in Wonderland

Best Film Editing
The Social Network

Best Makeup Design
The Wolfman

Best Visual Effects
Inception

Best Original Score
The Social Network

Best Original Song
“We Belong Together,” Toy Story 3

Best Sound Effects Editing
Inception

Best Sound Mixing
Inception

Best Animated Short
The Lost Thing

Best Documentary Short
Strangers No More

Best Live-Action Short
God of Love

My Score: 17 correct out of 24

Tally By Feature Film
4 wins for Inception
4 wins for The King’s Speech
3 wins for The Social Network
2 wins for The Fighter
2 wins for Alice in Wonderland
2 wins for Toy Story 3
1 win for In a Better World
1 win for The Wolfman
1 win for Inside Job
1 win for Black Swan

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  • I disagree on Art Direction which I see going to The King’s Speech. So we were identical until your last minute change. Because other than that I 100% agree! We’ll see very soon. Just throwing it out there, I found this to be one of the more interesting Oscar seasons to watch of recent years, I hope the ceremony holds up to that.

  • Ah, that’s actually great. That way if I get it wrong I can say that another Film Misery writer got it correct. Enjoy the show!

  • Here are Mine. I’m really confident in these (We agree on 17 of them):

    Best Picture: The King’s Speech

    Best Director: Tom Hooper- The King’s Speech

    Best Actor: Colin Firth- The King’s Speech
    Best Actress: Natalie Portman- Black Swan
    Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale- The Fighter
    Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo- The Fighter

    Best Original Screenplay: The King’s Speech
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Social Network

    Best Cinematography: True Grit
    Best Film Editing: The Social Network
    Best Art Direction: The King’s Speech
    Best Visual Effects: Inception
    Best Costume Design: The King’s Speech
    Best Makeup: The Wolfman

    Best Original Score: The Social Network
    Best Original Song: “We Belong Together” Toy Story 3

    Best Sound Mixing: Inception
    Best Sound Editing: Inception

    Best Foreign Film: Incendies
    Best Documentary: Exit Through the Gift Shop
    Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

    Best Live-Action Short: Na Wewe
    Best Documentary Short: Killing in the Name
    Best Animated Short: Day & Night

  • I’m also really hoping that Exit Through the Gift Shop will win. I want to see Banksy accepting the Oscar. It would be very interesting.

  • So much for one of us getting Art Direction right… Murtada?

  • Haha, that was unexpected.

  • Jose

    Originally, I had Alice for art and costume but changed them due to the negative reception the film seemed to be receiving. Wish I had stuck to my gut. I did a lot of last minute change and ended up 12/24. If I didn’t change it could’ve been like last year where I was (I think) 18/24.

  • Angel E.

    For such a great year for movies,
    and the race between Kings Speech & Social Network…

    Worst. Oscars. Ever…

  • Jose

    You sure Angel? The actual show was fun, and Kirk Douglas gets my MVP vote.

  • Asif Khan

    i got 15 out of 20 :) leaving the Short awards :)

    so sad for The Social Network, happy for others :)

  • I agree with Angel that it wasn’t the best Oscar ceremony. My full wrap-up will be posted this afternoon.

  • Andrew R.

    It started out pretty good though not great, but fell off a cliff once Hooper won and the kids starting singing (badly).

    Quick Summary: Good opening, but the hosts were meh. Melissa Leo’s speech was hysterical and the F bomb…haha. LOVED HBC’s reaction when they showed her clip for S Actress. It got very predictable when Hooper won, although I got my hopes up a little when Social Network won Editing. Loved the In Memoriam montage, and the Lena Horne quote. Kirk Douglas was great though it’s sad that he can’t speak clearly.

    Some of the clips they chose for acting were a little frustrating…some of the clips were indeed their best moment.

    Sorry to True Grit, which has become one of the biggest Oscar losers ever, with 0/10 wins.

    And the montage at the end of all the BP nominees would’ve been better without the speech being used as narration.

    And that concludes the rather average 83rd Academy Awards.

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