//SAG Nomination Predictions 2009

SAG Nomination Predictions 2009


The Screen Actors Guild Nominations will be announced in a few hours, so it’s time to make some predictions. The SAGs are known to throw some kinks in the acting races and their Best Ensemble Acting category has always been one of the best precursors for the Best Picture Oscar.

View my full predictions after the jump…

Jeff Bridges – Crazy Heart
George Clooney – Up in the Air
Colin Firth – A Single Man
Jeremy Renner – The Hurt Locker
Michael Stuhlbarg – A Serious Man

My wild card here is Michael Stuhlbarg from A Serious Man over Morgan Freeman for Invictus. It was a tough decision because Freeman’s performance, while great, does have a lot of Awards gimmicks (accents, biopic, etc.) SAG often likes to award newcomers and even though Stuhlbarg has been in the game for a while, this is definitely his breakthrough performance. Plus, it’s a damn fine film.

Sandra Bullock – The Blind Side
Helen Mirren – The Last Station
Carey Mulligan – An Education
Gabourey Sidibe – Precious
Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia

I’m going with a perfect match with my Oscar frontrunners. The Best Actress category is a tough one this year and I don’t think there are really too many wild cards in the mix. It’s possible Marion Cotillard or Natalie Portman sneaks in, but I’m not expecting anything in the way of shockers.

Woody Harrelson – The Messenger
Alfred Molina – An Education
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station
Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz – Inglourious Basterds

This one is similar, but different from the Best Actress category. Similar in that my predictions are the same as my Oscar predictions, but different in that I would not be shocked at all if there were surprises here. Alec Baldwin is a SAG favorite who could sneak in. Robert Duvall is a screen legend who had a great overall year. Anthony Mackie is in a movie that everybody loves. Matt Damon is due. Any of those fellas could sneak in here.

Penelope Cruz – Nine
Anna Kendrick – Up in the Air
Mo’Nique – Precious
Julianne Moore – A Single Man
Samantha Morton – The Messenger

For this one I’m going a little different than my Oscar predictions. Samantha Morton has been getting some support from precursors lately, so she might sneak in. Penelope Cruz should sneak in to represent the Musical/Comedy films of the year. Mo’Nique is a lock and Anna Kendrick is pretty darn close to a lock. Julianne Moore is the silent threat who may sneak in late and win the whole thing.

The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Up in the Air

The Best Ensemble Cast SAG award seems to act more like a Best Picture precursor than an actual recognizance of the best acting ensemble of the year. After all, Slumdog Millionaire won last year despite no acting nominations for any precursor during the entire year. I’m thinking that these five films are the Best Picture favorites at this point in the game and I have confidence they will show up in tomorrow’s nominations. Nine or Star Trek would be the most likely films to sneak in as wild cards.

There you have it. What are your predictions? I will be updating with the results tomorrow evening.

Alex started Film Misery in early 2009 after living the site’s title for many years. His film obsession began in high school when he and his friends would see all of the Oscar Best Picture nominees and try to make predictions...Full Bio.